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Multiple regression models for energy consumption of office buildings in different climates in China

Siyu ZHOU, Neng ZHU

《能源前沿（英文）》 2013年 第7卷 第1期   页码 103-110 doi: 10.1007/s11708-012-0220-z

摘要： The energy consumption of office buildings in China has been growing significantly in recent years. Obviously, there are significant relationships between building envelope and the energy consumption of office buildings. The 8 key building envelope influencing factors were found in this paper to evaluate their effects on the energy consumption of the air-conditioning system. The typical combinations of the key influencing factors were performed in Trnsy simulation. Then on the basis of the simulated results, the multiple regression models were developed respectively for the four climates of China—hot summer and warm winter, hot summer and cold winter, cold, and severely cold. According to the analysis of regression coefficients, the appropriate building envelope design schemes were discussed in different climates. At last, the regression model evaluations consisting of the simulation evaluations and the actual case evaluations were performed to verify the feasibility and accuracy of the regression models. The error rates are within±5% in the simulation evaluations and within±15% in the actual case evaluations. It is believed that the regression models developed in this paper can be used to estimate the energy consumption of office buildings in different climates when various building envelope designs are considered.

关键词： regression model     energy consumption     building envelope     office building     different climates    

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Presentation of regression analysis, GP and GMDH models to predict the pedestrian density in various

Iraj BARGEGOL; Seyed Mohsen HOSSEINIAN; Vahid NAJAFI MOGHADDAM GILANI; Mohammad NIKOOKAR; Alireza OROUEI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第2期   页码 250-265 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0785-x

摘要： In this study, the relationship between space mean speed (SMS), flow rate and density of pedestrians was investigated in different pedestrian facilities, including 1 walkway, 2 sidewalks, 2 signalized crosswalks and 2 mid-block crosswalks. First, statistical analysis was performed to investigate the normality of data and correlation of variables. Regression analysis was then applied to determine the relationship between SMS, flow rate, and density of pedestrians. Finally, two prediction models of density were obtained using genetic programming (GP) and group method of data handling (GMDH) models, and k-fold and holdout cross-validation methods were used to evaluate the models. By the use of regression analysis, the mathematical relationships between variables in all facilities were calculated and plotted, and the best relationships were observed in flow rate-density diagrams. Results also indicated that GP had a higher R2 than GMDH in the prediction of pedestrian density in terms of flow rate and SMS, suggesting that GP was better able to model SMS and pedestrian density. Moreover, the application of k-fold cross-validation method in the models led to better performances compared to the holdout cross-validation method, which shows that the prediction models using k-fold were more reliable. Finally, density relationships in all facilities were obtained in terms of SMS and flow rate.

关键词： pedestrian density     regression analysis     GP model     GMDH model    

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SPT based determination of undrained shear strength: Regression models and machine learning

Walid Khalid MBARAK, Esma Nur CINICIOGLU, Ozer CINICIOGLU

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2020年 第14卷 第1期   页码 185-198 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0591-x

摘要： The purpose of this study is the accurate prediction of undrained shear strength using Standard Penetration Test results and soil consistency indices, such as water content and Atterberg limits. With this study, along with the conventional methods of simple and multiple linear regression models, three machine learning algorithms, random forest, gradient boosting and stacked models, are developed for prediction of undrained shear strength. These models are employed on a relatively large data set from different projects around Turkey covering 230 observations. As an improvement over the available studies in literature, this study utilizes correct statistical analyses techniques on a relatively large database, such as using a train/test split on the data set to avoid overfitting of the developed models. Furthermore, the validity and consistency of the prediction results are ensured with the correct use of statistical measures like -value and cross-validation which were missing in previous studies. To compare the performances of the models developed in this study with the prior ones existing in literature, all models were applied on the test data set and their performances are evaluated in terms of the resulting root mean squared error ( ) values and coefficient of determination ( ). Accordingly, the models developed in this study demonstrate superior prediction capabilities compared to all of the prior studies. Moreover, to facilitate the use of machine learning algorithms for prediction purposes, entire source code prepared for this study and the collected data set are provided as supplements of this study.

关键词： undrained shear strength     linear regression     random forest     gradient boosting     machine learning     standard penetration test    

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Using hybrid models to predict blood pressure reactivity to unsupported back based on anthropometric

Gurmanik KAUR,Ajat Shatru ARORA,Vijender Kumar JAIN

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第16卷 第6期   页码 474-485 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1400295

摘要： Accurate blood pressure (BP) measurement is essential in epidemiological studies, screening programmes, and research studies as well as in clinical practice for the early detection and prevention of high BP-related risks such as coronary heart disease, stroke, and kidney failure. Posture of the participant plays a vital role in accurate measurement of BP. Guidelines on measurement of BP contain recommendations on the position of the back of the participants by advising that they should sit with supported back to avoid spuriously high readings. In this work, principal component analysis (PCA) is fused with forward stepwise regression (SWR), artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) model for the prediction of BP reactivity to an unsupported back in normotensive and hypertensive participants. PCA is used to remove multi-collinearity among anthropometric predictor variables and to select a subset of components, termed ‘principal components’ (PCs), from the original dataset. The selected PCs are fed into the proposed models for modeling and testing. The evaluation of the performance of the constructed models, using appropriate statistical indices, shows clearly that a PCA-based LS-SVM (PCA-LS-SVM) model is a promising approach for the prediction of BP reactivity in comparison to others. This assessment demonstrates the importance and advantages posed by hybrid models for the prediction of variables in biomedical research studies.

关键词： Blood pressure (BP)     Principal component analysis (PCA)     Forward stepwise regression     Artificial neural network (ANN)     Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)     Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM)    

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Integrated uncertain models for runoff forecasting and crop planting structure optimization of the Shiyang

Fan ZHANG, Mo LI, Shanshan GUO, Chenglong ZHANG, Ping GUO

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2018年 第5卷 第2期   页码 177-187 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2017177

摘要： To improve the accuracy of runoff forecasting, an uncertain multiple linear regression (UMLR) model is presented in this study. The proposed model avoids the transfer of random error generated in the independent variable to the dependent variable, as this affects prediction accuracy. On this basis, an inexact two-stage stochastic programming (ITSP) model is used for crop planting structure optimization (CPSO) with the inputs that are interval flow values under different probabilities obtained from the UMLR model. The developed system, in which the UMLR model for runoff forecasting and the ITSP model for crop planting structure optimization are integrated, is applied to a real case study. The aim of the developed system is to optimize crops planting area with limited available water resources base on the downstream runoff forecasting in order to obtain the maximum system benefit in the future. The solution obtained can demonstrate the feasibility and suitability of the developed system, and help decision makers to identify reasonable crop planting structure under multiple uncertainties.

关键词： crop planting structure optimization     inexact two-stage stochastic programming     runoff forecasting     Shiyang River Basin     uncertain multiple linear regression    

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Option-like properties in the distribution of hedge fund returns

Katharina DENK, Ben DJERROUD, Luis SECO, Mohammad SHAKOURIFAR, Rudi ZAGST

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2020年 第7卷 第2期   页码 275-286 doi: 10.1007/s42524-020-0095-3

摘要： Hedge funds have recently become popular because of their low correlation with traditional investments and their ability to generate positive returns with a relatively low volatility. However, a close look at those high-performing hedge funds raises the questions on whether their performance is truly superior and whether the high management fees are justified. Incurring no alpha costs, passive hedge fund replication strategies raise the question on whether they can similarly perform by improving efficiency at reduced costs. Therefore, this study investigates two different model approaches for the equity long/short strategy, where weighted segmented linear regression models are employed and combined with two-state Markov switching models. The main finding proves a short put option structure, i.e., short equity market volatility, with the put structure present in all market states. We obtain an evidence that the hedge fund managers decrease their short-volatility profile during turbulent markets.

关键词： hedge funds     hedge fund index     segmented linear regression models     regime-switching models     mimicking portfolios     single factor-based hedge fund replication     equity long–short strategy    

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Unified methodology for site-characterization and sampling of highway runoff

Jy S. WU, Craig J. ALLAN,

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2010年 第4卷 第1期   页码 47-58 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0003-x

摘要： Hydrology, roadway traffic conditions, and atmospheric deposition are three essential data categories for the planning and implementation of highway-runoff monitoring and characterization programs. Causal variables pertaining to each data category could be site specific but have been shown to correlate with runoff pollutant loads. These data categories were combined to derive statistical relationships for characterization and prioritization of the respective pollutant loads at highway runoff sites. Storm runoff data of total suspended solids (TSS), total dissolved solid (TDS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN) and total phosphorus (TP) collected from three highway sites in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, were used to illustrate the development of site-specific highway-runoff pollutant loading models. This unified methodology provides a basis for initial assessment of the pollutant-constituent loads from highway runoff using hydrologic component variables. Improved reliability is achievable when additional traffic and/or atmospheric component variables are incorporated into the basic hydrologic regression model. In addition, operational guidance is suggested for implementing highway-runoff monitoring programs that are subject to sampling and resources constraints.

关键词： highway runoff     pollutant loads     regression models     non-point source pollution     storm water permit    

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Models of thermodynamic and transport properties of POE VG68 and R410A/POE VG68 mixture

WEI Wenjian, DING Guoliang, HU Haitao, WANG Kaijian

《能源前沿（英文）》 2008年 第2卷 第2期   页码 227-234 doi: 10.1007/s11708-008-0020-7

摘要： The thermodynamic properties of a refrigerant-oil mixture are the foundation to predict the performance of air-conditioning and refrigeration systems and to evaluate the influence of oil on heat transfer and pressure drop. Models of the thermodynamic and transport properties of POE VG68 and R410A/POE VG68 mixture were provided based on the analysis of state-of-the-art correlations. New models were developed by modifying the coefficients in existing correlations with multiple regression method according to experimental data. The maximum deviation of the predicted values of these models to the experimental data is within 5%. These models can be used for R410A/POE VG68 to obtain accurate and reliable thermodynamic and transport parameters to evaluate the influence of POE VG68 on the performance of an R410A air-conditioning and refrigeration system.

关键词： multiple regression     foundation     thermodynamic     influence     air-conditioning    

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Unconfined compressive strength prediction of soils stabilized using artificial neural networks and support vector machines

Alireza TABARSA, Nima LATIFI, Abdolreza OSOULI, Younes BAGHERI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第2期   页码 520-536 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0689-9

摘要： This study aims to improve the unconfined compressive strength of soils using additives as well as by predicting the strength behavior of stabilized soils using two artificial-intelligence-based models. The soils used in this study are stabilized using various combinations of cement, lime, and rice husk ash. To predict the results of unconfined compressive strength tests conducted on soils, a comprehensive laboratory dataset comprising 137 soil specimens treated with different combinations of cement, lime, and rice husk ash is used. Two artificial-intelligence-based models including artificial neural networks and support vector machines are used comparatively to predict the strength characteristics of soils treated with cement, lime, and rice husk ash under different conditions. The suggested models predicted the unconfined compressive strength of soils accurately and can be introduced as reliable predictive models in geotechnical engineering. This study demonstrates the better performance of support vector machines in predicting the strength of the investigated soils compared with artificial neural networks. The type of kernel function used in support vector machine models contributed positively to the performance of the proposed models. Moreover, based on sensitivity analysis results, it is discovered that cement and lime contents impose more prominent effects on the unconfined compressive strength values of the investigated soils compared with the other parameters.

关键词： unconfined compressive strength     artificial neural network     support vector machine     predictive models     regression    

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使用数据驱动模型优化抗体纯化策略 Article

刘松崧, Lazaros G. Papageorgiou

《工程（英文）》 2019年 第5卷 第6期   页码 1077-1092 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2019.10.011

摘要：

本工作致力于抗体片段纯化过程的多尺度优化。优化了生产过程中的色谱决策，包括色谱柱的数量及其大小，每批的循环数以及操作流速。使用基于微型实验数据的制造规模模拟数据集，建立了以负载质量、流速和柱床高度为输入的色谱通量数据驱动模型。与其他方法相比，分段线性回归建模方法具有简单、预测精度高的优点。提出了两种混合整数非线性规划（MINLP）模型，结合数据驱动模型，以最小化每克抗体纯化过程的总成本。然后，使用线性化技术和多参数分解将这些MINLP模型重新构造为混合整数线性规划（MILP）模型。研究了两个具有不同色谱柱尺寸替代品的工业相关案例，以证明所提出模型的适用性。

关键词： 抗体纯化     多尺度优化     抗原结合片段     混合整数规划     数据驱动模型     分段线性回归    

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Dynamic response surface methodology using Lasso regression for organic pharmaceutical synthesis

《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第2期   页码 221-236 doi: 10.1007/s11705-021-2061-y

摘要： To study the dynamic behavior of a process, time-resolved data are collected at different time instants during each of a series of experiments, which are usually designed with the design of experiments or the design of dynamic experiments methodologies. For utilizing such time-resolved data to model the dynamic behavior, dynamic response surface methodology (DRSM), a data-driven modeling method, has been proposed. Two approaches can be adopted in the estimation of the model parameters: stepwise regression, used in several of previous publications, and Lasso regression, which is newly incorporated in this paper for the estimation of DRSM models. Here, we show that both approaches yield similarly accurate models, while the computational time of Lasso is on average two magnitude smaller. Two case studies are performed to show the advantages of the proposed method. In the first case study, where the concentrations of different species are modeled directly, DRSM method provides more accurate models compared to the models in the literature. The second case study, where the reaction extents are modeled instead of the species concentrations, illustrates the versatility of the DRSM methodology. Therefore, DRSM with Lasso regression can provide faster and more accurate data-driven models for a variety of organic synthesis datasets.

关键词： data-driven modeling     pharmaceutical organic synthesis     Lasso regression     dynamic response surface methodology    

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Interaction behavior and load sharing pattern of piled raft using nonlinear regression and LM algorithm-based

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第5期   页码 1181-1198 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0744-6

摘要： In the recent era, piled raft foundation (PRF) has been considered an emergent technology for offshore and onshore structures. In previous studies, there is a lack of illustration regarding the load sharing and interaction behavior which are considered the main intents in the present study. Finite element (FE) models are prepared with various design variables in a double-layer soil system, and the load sharing and interaction factors of piled rafts are estimated. The obtained results are then checked statistically with nonlinear multiple regression (NMR) and artificial neural network (ANN) modeling, and some prediction models are proposed. ANN models are prepared with Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithm for load sharing and interaction factors through backpropagation technique. The factor of safety (FS) of PRF is also estimated using the proposed NMR and ANN models, which can be used for developing the design strategy of PRF.

关键词： interaction     load sharing ratio     piled raft     nonlinear regression     artificial neural network    

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Multivariable regression model for Fox depth correction factor

Ravi Kant MITTAL, Sanket RAWAT, Piyush BANSAL

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第1期   页码 103-109 doi: 10.1007/s11709-018-0474-6

摘要： This paper presents a simple and efficient equation for calculating the Fox depth correction factor used in computation of settlement reduction due to foundation embedment. Classical solution of Boussinesq theory was used originally to develop the Fox depth correction factor equations which were rather complex in nature. The equations were later simplified in the form of graphs and tables and referred in various international code of practices and standard texts for an unsophisticated and quick analysis. However, these tables and graphs provide the factor only for limited values of the input variables and hence again complicates the process of automation of analysis. Therefore, this paper presents a non-linear regression model for the analysis of effect of embedment developed using “IBM Statistical Package for the Social Sciences” software. Through multiple iterations, the value of coefficient of determination is found to reach 0.987. The equation is straightforward, competent and easy to use for both manual and automated calculation of the Fox depth correction factor for wide range of input values. Using the developed equation, parametric study is also conducted in the later part of the paper to analyse the extent of effect of a particular variable on the Fox depth factor.

关键词： settlement     embedment     Fox depth correction factor     regression     multivariable    

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A review on different theoretical models of electrocaloric effect for refrigeration

《能源前沿（英文）》 2023年 第17卷 第4期   页码 478-503 doi: 10.1007/s11708-023-0884-6

摘要： The performance parameters for characterizing the electrocaloric effect are isothermal entropy change and the adiabatic temperature change, respectively. This paper reviews the electrocaloric effect of ferroelectric materials based on different theoretical models. First, it provides four different calculation scales (the first-principle-based effective Hamiltonian, the Landau-Devonshire thermodynamic theory, phase-field simulation, and finite element analysis) to explain the basic theory of calculating the electrocaloric effect. Then, it comprehensively reviews the recent progress of these methods in regulating the electrocaloric effect and the generation mechanism of the electrocaloric effect. Finally, it summarizes and anticipates the exploration of more novel electrocaloric materials based on the framework constructed by the different computational methods.

关键词： electrocaloric effect     effective Hamiltonian     phase-field modeling     different theoretical models    

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An innovative model for predicting the displacement and rotation of column-tree moment connection under fire

Mohammad Ali NAGHSH, Aydin SHISHEGARAN, Behnam KARAMI, Timon RABCZUK, Arshia SHISHEGARAN, Hamed TAGHAVIZADEH, Mehdi MORADI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第1期   页码 194-212 doi: 10.1007/s11709-020-0688-2

摘要： In this study, we carried out nonlinear finite element simulations to predict the performance of a column-tree moment connection (CTMC) under fire and static loads. We also conducted a detailed parameter study based on five input variables, including the applied temperature, number of flange bolts, number of web bolts, length of the beam, and applied static loads. The first variable is changed among seven levels, whereas the other variables are changed among three levels. Employing the Taguchi method for variables 2–5 and their levels, 9 samples were designed for the parameter study, where each sample was exposed to 7 different temperatures yielding 63 outputs. The related variables for each output are imported for the training and testing of different surrogate models. These surrogate models include a multiple linear regression (MLR), multiple Ln equation regression (MLnER), an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and gene expression programming (GEP). 44 samples were used for training randomly while the remaining samples were employed for testing. We show that GEP outperforms MLR, MLnER, and ANFIS. The results indicate that the rotation and deflection of the CTMC depend on the temperature. In addition, the fire resistance increases with a decrease in the beam length; thus, a shorter beam can increase the fire resistance of the building. The numbers of flanges and web bolts slightly affect the rotation and displacement of the CTMCs at temperatures of above 400°C.

关键词： column-tree moment connection     Finite element model     parametric study     fire     regression models     gene expression programming    

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标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Multiple regression models for energy consumption of office buildings in different climates in China

Siyu ZHOU, Neng ZHU

期刊论文

Presentation of regression analysis, GP and GMDH models to predict the pedestrian density in various

Iraj BARGEGOL; Seyed Mohsen HOSSEINIAN; Vahid NAJAFI MOGHADDAM GILANI; Mohammad NIKOOKAR; Alireza OROUEI

期刊论文

SPT based determination of undrained shear strength: Regression models and machine learning

Walid Khalid MBARAK, Esma Nur CINICIOGLU, Ozer CINICIOGLU

期刊论文

Using hybrid models to predict blood pressure reactivity to unsupported back based on anthropometric

Gurmanik KAUR,Ajat Shatru ARORA,Vijender Kumar JAIN

期刊论文

Integrated uncertain models for runoff forecasting and crop planting structure optimization of the Shiyang

Fan ZHANG, Mo LI, Shanshan GUO, Chenglong ZHANG, Ping GUO

期刊论文

Option-like properties in the distribution of hedge fund returns

Katharina DENK, Ben DJERROUD, Luis SECO, Mohammad SHAKOURIFAR, Rudi ZAGST

期刊论文

Unified methodology for site-characterization and sampling of highway runoff

Jy S. WU, Craig J. ALLAN,

期刊论文

Models of thermodynamic and transport properties of POE VG68 and R410A/POE VG68 mixture

WEI Wenjian, DING Guoliang, HU Haitao, WANG Kaijian

期刊论文

Unconfined compressive strength prediction of soils stabilized using artificial neural networks and support vector machines

Alireza TABARSA, Nima LATIFI, Abdolreza OSOULI, Younes BAGHERI

期刊论文

使用数据驱动模型优化抗体纯化策略

刘松崧, Lazaros G. Papageorgiou

期刊论文

Dynamic response surface methodology using Lasso regression for organic pharmaceutical synthesis

期刊论文

Interaction behavior and load sharing pattern of piled raft using nonlinear regression and LM algorithm-based

期刊论文

Multivariable regression model for Fox depth correction factor

Ravi Kant MITTAL, Sanket RAWAT, Piyush BANSAL

期刊论文

A review on different theoretical models of electrocaloric effect for refrigeration

期刊论文

An innovative model for predicting the displacement and rotation of column-tree moment connection under fire

Mohammad Ali NAGHSH, Aydin SHISHEGARAN, Behnam KARAMI, Timon RABCZUK, Arshia SHISHEGARAN, Hamed TAGHAVIZADEH, Mehdi MORADI

期刊论文